Wednesday, September 12, 2012

2012 Emmy Predictions: Miniseries/Movie & Reality

Leading Actress - Miniseries/Movie

Nicole Kidman - Hemingway & Gellhorn
Emma Thompson - The Song of Lunch
Julianne Moore - Game Change
Ashley Judd - Missing
Connie Britton - American Horror Story

Predicted Winner: Julianne Moore

I actually decided to focus on the miniseries/TV movie categories this year because of how much attention it's gotten for American Horror Story's committing "category fraud." It's not a miniseries, but then again neither was Downton Abbey, last year's winner in many of these categories. Regardless, Julianne Moore's got this one locked up for her uncanny portrayal of Sarah Palin.

Leading Actor - Miniseries/Movie

Clive Owen - Hemingway & Gellhorn
Idris Elba - Luther
Woody Harrelson - Game Change
Benedict Cumberbatch - Sherlock
Kevin Costner - Hatfields & McCoys
Bill Paxton - Hatfields & McCoys

Predicted Winner: Idris Elba

Elba should've won last year (even though, once again, his show does not belong in this category since it is on its second season), so I'm predicting him for this year. A win for Clive Owen would also be welcome and not unexpected.

Supporting Actress - Miniseries/Movie

Jessica Lange - American Horror Story
Frances Conroy - American Horror Story
Sarah Paulson - Game Change
Judy Davis - Page Eight
Mare Winningham - Hatfields & McCoys

Predicted Winner: Jessica Lange

No matter how the show was submitted, Jessica Lange would have walked away with a statue. No one else can win this award.

Supporting Actor - Miniseries/Movie

Denis O'Hare - American Horror Story
David Strathairn - Hemingway & Gellhorn
Ed Harris - Game Change
Martin Freeman - Sherlock
Tom Berenger - Hatfields & McCoys

Predicted Winner: Ed Harris

This could easily go to either Ed Harris or Tom Berenger, but overall Game Change was much stronger than Hatfields & McCoys so I'm giving Harris the edge for his emobodiment of John McCain.

Miniseries or TV Movie

American Horror Story
Hemingway & Gellhorn
Game Change
Luther
Sherlock
Hatfields & McCoys

Predicted Winner: Game Change

Hatfields & McCoys is the only true miniseries in contention, so I'd like to see it win for that fact alone. But both HBO films were better, particularly Game Change.

Reality Program - Competition

So You Think You Can Dance
The Amazing Race
Dancing with the Stars
Top Chef
Project Runway

The Voice

Predicted Winner: The Amazing Race

I can never not predict The Amazing Race, considering it's only lost once (to Top Chef, which has not been nearly as strong since its win). But if it were to lose to anything this year, I'd think it would be The Voice.

Reality Program - Non-Competition

Jamie Oliver's Food Revolution
Antiques Roadshow
Who Do You Think You Are?
Undercover Boss
MythBusters
Shark Tank

Predicted Winner: Shark Tank

For some reason, Shark Tank saw an explosion in popularity this past season. But any of the new nominees could take this one; I think Food Revolution has the best shot of those.

Host for a Reality Program

Cat Deeley - So You Think You Can Dance
Phil Keoghan - The Amazing Race
Ryan Seacrest - American Idol
Betty White - Betty White's Off Their Rockers
Tom Bergeron - Dancing with the Stars

Predicted Winner: Betty White

As much as I adore Cat Deeley and think she's the best host on TV, the voters love Betty White; and this would give her an award in a brand new category for her, so I think she'll take it.

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